FORECASTING AUTO OWNERSHIP AND MODE CHOICE FOR U.S. METROPOLITAN AREAS. VOLUME II: MODEL EQUATIONS

Volume I of this report describes a multivariate model of auto ownership and mode choice, as well as its use in forecasting 1990 travel behavior, for a sample of 346,000 households and 407,000 workers in the largest 125 SMSAs. Household auto ownership decisions depend on family type and composition, household income, residential location, workplace location, highway and transit service levels, and measures of overall urban spatial structure for each SMSA. Given the number of cars owned and the variables used to explain auto ownership, each worker in the household selects one of five worktrip modes. This volume presents the coefficients of the detailed equations which comprise the models described in Volume I. (Portions of this document are not fully legible)

• Corporate Authors:

  Harvard University

  Department of City and Regional Planning, Gund Hall
  Cambridge, MA  United States  02138

  Department of Transportation

  Office of University Research, 1200 New Jersey Avenue, SE
  Washington, DC  United States  20590
• Authors:
  • Kain, J F
  • Fauth, G R
  • Zax, J
• Publication Date: 1978-12

Media Info

• Pagination: 194 p.

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Automobile ownership; Automobiles; Coefficients; Commuters; Equations; Forecasting; Households; Income; Mathematical models; Metropolitan areas; Mode choice; Multivariate analysis; Socioeconomic factors; Tables (Data); Travel; Travel patterns; Work trips
• Old TRIS Terms: Modal selection
• Subject Areas: Data and Information Technology; Economics; Highways; Passenger Transportation; Planning and Forecasting; Public Transportation; Society;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00190941
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: National Technical Information Service
• Report/Paper Numbers: DOT/RSPA/DPB50-78/22Final Rpt.
• Contract Numbers: DOT-OS-30099
• Files: NTIS, TRIS, USDOT
• Created Date: Mar 28 1981 12:00AM