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https://nap.nationalacademies.org/catalog/27432/critical-issues-in-transportation-for-2024-and-beyond

Infrastructure to 2030 - telecom, land transport, water and electricity

This publication considers the future infrastructure requirements to 2030 for telecom, land transport, water and electricity for the developing world and OECD countries. As well as considering issues such as economic growth, population and income levels, the potential impact of infrastructure development of other factors such as climate change, security issues, the likely evolution of public finances, human settlement patterns, and technology-induced substitution effects are included. A set of policy recommendations to OECD governments is provided, based on critical issues for the future. The chapter on telecoms infrastructure includes a discussion of whether teleworking will reduce the need to travel. It is considered that it may reduce the need to travel at peak times, reducing future infrastructure requirements. Part-time teleworking is more common than full-time teleworking. Many teleworkers live greater distances from their place of work. The potential to reduce vehicle miles travelled and pollutant emissions are considered overstated. The need for public transport will continue but telecommunications may enable more flexible services. Videoconferencing and audioconferencing are considered to complement travel patterns, with the increased efficiency and productivity gains from communications technology translated into extra air travel. Reductions in energy costs, office infrastructure requirements, vehicle requirements and vehicle secondary services such as insurance may result from increased use of telecommunications. Increases in travel to remote areas and in electricity use at remote areas, and increased delivery requirements from internet shopping are predicted. The chapter on future demand for surface transport predicts road transport infrastructure requirements for new construction at $220-290 billion/year between 2010 and 2030, with possibly 20% of this amount subject to deliberate policy intervention to achieve greater infrastructure use efficiency. The equivalent figure for rail is $49-58 billion. Infrastructure benefits are expected to exceed infrastructure costs. Transport financing, public willingness to pay, and the effects of short term political considerations are also discussed. A large portion of this publication considers future water demand for domestic, agricultural, public amenities and industrial uses. A current global figure of $574.6 billion/year invested in water infrastructure is predicted. Electricity demand is predicted to increase at 2.5%/year up to 2030, with large requirements for developing countries, especially China.

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  • Corporate Authors:

    Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)

    2, rue André Pascal
    Paris,   France  75775 Paris Cedex 16
  • Authors:
    • STEVENS, B
    • SCHIEB, P A
    • ANDRIEU, M
    • BOHLIN, E
    • FORGE, S
    • BLACKMAN, C
    • MORGAN, T
    • STAMBROOK, D
    • ASHLEY, R
    • CASHMAN, A
  • Publication Date: 2006

Language

  • English

Media Info

  • Pagination: 35p

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 01034129
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Source Agency: Transport Research Laboratory
  • ISBN: 92-64-02938-4
  • Files: ITRD, ATRI
  • Created Date: Oct 6 2006 2:21PM