FORECASTING INTERCITY RAIL RIDERSHIP USING REVEALED PREFERENCE AND STATED PREFERENCE DATA

A methodology for incorporating revealed preference (RP) and stated preference (SP) data in discrete choice models is presented. The methodology is applied to intercity travel mode choice analysis. New mode shares for each origin-destination pair resulting from changes in service levels are predicted. The combined estimation technique with RP and SP data is developed to promote advantages of the two complementary data sources. The empirical study of intercity travel demand demonstrates the practicality of the methodology by accurately reproducing observed aggregate data and by applying a flexible operational prediction method.

• Record URL:
  http://onlinepubs.trb.org/Onlinepubs/trr/1991/1328/1328-004.pdf
• Record URL:
  https://scholar.google.com/scholar_lookup?title=FORECASTING+INTERCITY+RAIL+RIDERSHIP+USING+REVEALED+PREFERENCE+AND+STATED+PREFERENCE+DATA&author=T.+Morikawa&author=M.+Ben-Akiva&author=K.+Yamada&publication_year=1991
• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/isbn/0309051614
• Supplemental Notes:
  • This paper appears in Transportation Research Record No. 1328, Travel Demand Forecasting: New Methodologies and Travel Behavior Research 1991. Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved
• Authors:
  • Morikawa, Takayuki
  • Ben-Akiva, Moshe
  • Yamada, Kikuko
• Publication Date: 1991

Media Info

• Features: References; Tables;
• Pagination: p. 30-35
• Monograph Title: Travel demand forecasting: new methodologies and travel behavior research, 1991
• Serial:
  • Transportation Research Record
  • Issue Number: 1328
  • Publisher: Transportation Research Board
  • ISSN: 0361-1981

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Choice models; Forecasting; Intercity transportation; Railroad transportation; Revealed preferences; Ridership; Stated preferences; Travel demand
• Uncontrolled Terms: Discrete choice models
• Subject Areas: Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Public Transportation; Railroads; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00622240
• Record Type: Publication
• ISBN: 0309051614
• Files: TRIS, TRB
• Created Date: May 31 1992 12:00AM