WORLDWIDE TRANSPORTATION/ENERGY DEMAND, 1975-2000. REVISED VARIFLEX MODEL PROJECTIONS

The salient features of the transportation-energy relationships that characterize the world of 1975 are reviewed, and worldwide (34 countries) long-range transportation demand by mode to the year 2000 is reviewed. A worldwide model is used to estimate future energy demand for transportation. Projections made by the forecasting model indicate that in the year 2000, every region will be more dependent on petroleum for the transportation sector than it was in 1975. This report is intended to highlight certain trends and to suggest areas for further investigation. Forecast methodology and model output are described in detail in the appendices.

• Supplemental Notes:
  • The report is one of a series addressing transportation energy consumption; it supplants and replaces an earlier version published in October 1978 (ORNL/Sub-78/13536/1).
• Corporate Authors:

  Variflex Corporation

  2905 Davenport Street, NW
  Washington, DC  United States  20008
• Authors:
  • Ayres, R U
  • Ayres, L W
• Publication Date: 1980-3

Media Info

• Features: Appendices; References; Tables;
• Pagination: 176 p.

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Demand; Energy; Energy consumption; Energy resources; Forecasting; Freight transportation; Long range planning; Mathematical models; Modal split; Passenger transportation; Time duration; Transportation; Trend (Statistics)
• Uncontrolled Terms: Long term
• Subject Areas: Energy; Transportation (General);

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00319999
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: Energy Research Abstracts
• Contract Numbers: W-7405-ENG-26
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Nov 29 1980 12:00AM