Alaska Road Weather Project: Technical Performance Assessment Report Fairbanks Field Demonstration 2013-2014
The Alaska Department of Transportation and Public Facilities began implementation of a Maintenance Decision Support System in an effort to improve snow and ice control in the Fairbanks area. As part of the project the reliability of the weather forecast models were evaluated by comparing the forecast with the actual weather records. In general, the models were fairly accurate, but some bias was detected in the air and pavement temperatures and the dew point. All analysis used a 95% confidence level. The predicted air temperatures tended to be about -3°F between November 1, 2013 and March 30, 2014. The pavement temperature had a bias depending on the time of day and increasing as the forecast time lengthened. In the near term there was a slight warm bias. Beyond 12 hours there was a consistent cold bias of about 3°F. The dew point predicted temperature had a small bias of about 1°F.
- Record URL:
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Corporate Authors:
National Center for Atmospheric Research
P.O. Box 3000
Boulder, Colorado United States 80307Alaska University Transportation Center
University of Alaska, Fairbanks
P.O. Box 755900
Fairbanks, AK United States 99775-5900Alaska Department of Transportation and Public Facilities
Research, Development and Technology Transfer, 2301 Peger Road
Fairbanks, AK United States 99709-5399Federal Highway Administration
1200 New Jersey Avenue, SE
Washington, DC United States 20590 -
Authors:
- Chapman, Mike
- Linden, Seth
- Burghardt, Crystal
- Publication Date: 2015-1
Language
- English
Media Info
- Media Type: Digital/other
- Edition: Final Report
- Features: Figures; References;
- Pagination: 18p
Subject/Index Terms
- TRT Terms: Decision support systems; Dew point; Snow and ice control; Temperature; Weather conditions; Weather forecasting; Winter maintenance
- Geographic Terms: Fairbanks (Alaska)
- Subject Areas: Highways; Maintenance and Preservation; I62: Winter Maintenance;
Filing Info
- Accession Number: 01554428
- Record Type: Publication
- Report/Paper Numbers: INE/ AUTC 15.01, ST-0106(15)
- Contract Numbers: ST-0106(15); RR12.01
- Files: TRIS, ATRI, USDOT, STATEDOT
- Created Date: Feb 26 2015 9:49AM