Travel time predictability

Reliable journey time is a key parameter in travellers’ route choice and has important applications in transport planning and modelling. For transport users, it affects their choice of mode, journey route and also their activity patterns. For transport planners and policy makers, journey time estimates are used to provide key indicators for performance monitoring, congestion management, travel demand modelling and forecasting, traffic simulation, air quality analysis, evaluation of travel demand and traffic operations strategies. This research aimed to clarify how historical baseline data combined with near real-time data including environmental conditions, incidents and traffic flow could contribute to the calculation of reliable and timely delivered travel time predictions. A comprehensive literature review was undertaken to establish existing methods for predicting travel time. Based on the findings of the literature review, and using sample data from Auckland’s strategic road network, a model was developed to determine if these methods could be applied to strategic roads throughout New Zealand.

• Record URL:
  http://www.nzta.govt.nz/resources/research/reports/554/
• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/isbn/9780478419665
• Corporate Authors:

  New Zealand Transport Agency

  Private Bag 6995, Wellington 6141, New Zealand
  Wellington,    
• Authors:
  • Siddle, D
• Publication Date: 2014-8

Language

• English

Media Info

• Pagination: 51p
• Serial:
  • Issue Number: 554

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Data analysis; Data collection; Literature reviews; Mathematical models; Route choice; Time; Travel; Travel behavior; Travel time; Types of roads by network
• Uncontrolled Terms: Road networks
• Geographic Terms: Auckland, New Zealand; New Zealand
• ATRI Terms: Data analysis; Literature review; Modelling; Road network; Route choice; Travel behaviour; Travel time
• ITRD Terms: 132: Forecast
• Subject Areas: Data and Information Technology; Highways; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 01537385
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: ARRB
• ISBN: 9780478419665
• Files: ITRD, ATRI
• Created Date: Sep 12 2014 9:58AM