Transport systems meeting long-term climate targets: a backcasting approach

Future transport systems consistent with long-term climate targets are examined in this thesis, using a systems perspective covering the entire transport system. The aim is to provide scientific decision support for current transport policy-making, especially regarding structures with high inertia, e.g. urban structure, roads, railways, fuel production systems and vehicle fleets. An additional aim is to widen the perception of possible transport futures consistent with meeting climate targets, and to support a wider discussion in society on this topic. The overall conclusion from this thesis is that improved vehicle technology and low carbon fuels are necessary, but not solely sufficient, to achieve long-term targets consistent with limiting global warming to two degrees. The growth in volume, especially of car and air travel and truck transport, must also be curbed. However, total travel volume can be maintained at 2005 levels if substantial modal shifts to cycling and public transport are achieved. Moreover, if conscious measures are taken regarding urban planning and the use of communications technology to replace travel, functional accessibility may increase considerably. The trend-breaking development needed to achieve climate targets requires a combination of different policy measures. Pricing of external effects, e.g. greenhouse gas emissions, is a key strategy. Other possible pricing measures include differentiated charges for car travel in urban areas, km-charges on trucks and increased fuel taxes. To achieve the targets set, strict prioritisation of investments in public transport, cycling and ICT infrastructure is needed, especially since public resources are limited.

Language

  • English

Media Info

  • Pagination: 1 file
  • Serial:
    • Issue Number: 2011:01

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 01380863
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Source Agency: ARRB
  • ISBN: 9789174158601
  • Files: ATRI
  • Created Date: Aug 22 2012 11:22AM