Predicting Truck Crash Involvement: A 2011 Update

In 2005, an American Transportation Research Institute (ATRI) Research Team pursued a "crash predictor" research objective utilizing several available driver-specific data sets to relate prior driving history (exemplified by driver violations, convictions and crashes) to impending truck crash involvement. The Research Team identified a series of effective enforcement and industry countermeasures available to address the problem behaviors that were found to be most highly associated with future crash involvement. In 2011, ATRI was asked to revisit the research to determine how driver behavior-crash relationships have fared as a result of recent changes to the regulatory environment, industry safety practices and the dissemination of proven enforcement and carrier countermeasures identified in the 2005 report. Conclusions presented in this updated report include an acknowledgement that driver behaviors, while still associated with crash involvement, appear to be less strongly related than in ATRI's initial report. In addition, while many of the 2005 behaviors demonstrated similar patterns in this report update, a number of the most predictive behaviors from 2005 were replaced by new behaviors. Theories are proposed for the changes, with an emphasis on the diminished occurrence of driver violations and, consequently, crash prevalence which by 2009 had reached an all-time low. Recommendations are provided for using the current study's findings to continue to reduce the occurrence of crashes and crash-related behaviors.

• Availability:
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• Corporate Authors:

  American Transportation Research Institute

  950 N Glebe Road, Suite 210
  Arlington, VA  United States  22203
• Authors:
  • Lueck, Micah D
  • Murray, Daniel C
• Publication Date: 2011-4

Language

• English

Media Info

• Media Type: Print
• Features: Appendices; Figures; References; Tables;
• Pagination: 49p

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Behavior; Commercial vehicle operations; Countermeasures; Law enforcement; Recommendations; Traffic violations; Truck crashes; Truck drivers; Trucking safety
• Subject Areas: Motor Carriers; Planning and Forecasting; Safety and Human Factors; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning; I83: Accidents and the Human Factor;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 01339689
• Record Type: Publication
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: May 13 2011 4:27PM