THE USE OF BEHAVIORAL SURVEYS IN FORECASTING TRANSPORTATION REQUIREMENTS

THIS PAPER HIGHLIGHTS SOME OF THE IMPORTANT RESULTS OBTAINED FROM A NATIONWIDE SURVEY OF URBAN HOUSEHOLDS CONDUCTED BY THE SURVEY RESEARCH CENTER OF THE UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN, AND SHOWS HOW BEHAVIORAL SURVEYS OF THIS TYPE CAN BE USED TO IMPROVE FORECASTING PROCEDURES USED IN URBAN TRANSPORTATION PLANNING. THE FINDINGS ARE BASED ON 824 HOME INTERVIEWS IN ABOUT 30 STANDARD METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREAS. INFORMATION WAS COLLECTED AND ANALYZED ON RECENT RESIDENTIAL MOVES, TRAVEL HABITS, SOCIO-ECONOMIC CHARACTERISTICS OF HOUSEHOLDS, AND ATTITUDES AND PREFERENCES REGARDING THE CHOICE OF RESIDENTIAL LOCATION AND MODE OF TRAVEL ON THE JOURNEY TO WORK. THE CRITICAL FACTORS INFLUENCING HOUSEHOLDS DECISIONS ON RESIDENTIAL LOCATION AND MODE OF TRAVEL ARE IDENTIFIED, AND SEVERAL CONCLUSIONS ARE DRAWN ABOUT THE IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS FOR FUTURE PATTERNS OF URBAN DEVELOPMENT AND TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS USAGE. THE PAPER REVIEWS CURRENTLY USED METHODS OF FORECASTING RESIDENTIAL LAND USE AND TRIP GENERATION, AND SHOWS HOW, IN LIGHT OF THE FINDINGS OF THE UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN STUDY, SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENTS IN THESE METHODS CAN BE MADE BY TAKING A MORE BEHAVIORAL APPROACH IN MODEL BUILDING. /AUTHOR/

• Record URL:
  • http://onlinepubs.trb.org/Onlinepubs/hrr/1966/106/106-003.pdf
• Supplemental Notes:
  • Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
• Authors:
  • Stowers, Joseph R
  • Kanwit, Edmond L
• Publication Date: 1966

Media Info

• Media Type: Digital/other
• Features: References; Tables;
• Pagination: pp 44-51
• Monograph Title: Economic forecasting
• Serial:
  • Highway Research Record
  • Issue Number: 106
  • Publisher: Highway Research Board

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Behavior; Data collection; Economic factors; Forecasting; Households; Improvements; Interviewing; Land use; Methodology; Metropolitan areas; Residential areas; Reviews; Social factors; Surveys; Transportation planning; Travel patterns; Trip generation; Urban areas; Urban transportation; Work trips
• Old TRIS Terms: Economic considerations
• Subject Areas: Economics; Highways; Society;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00201122
• Record Type: Publication
• Files: TRIS, TRB
• Created Date: Nov 18 1994 12:00AM