Projection of the Daily Travel of an Ageing Population: The Paris and Montreal Case, 1975-2020
Aging of the population, urban sprawl and car dependency will change travel patterns. The main objective of this paper is to give elements for a better understanding of the impact of changing demographics on the long-term evolution of daily mobility using demographic-based models to forecast, for the elderly population, car-ownership, trip frequency, distance traveled, average trip distance. A second objective is to measure the impact of the long-term tendencies observed on the appearance of new needs of travel demand such as a rapid increase of demand-responsive transport. The paper compares two agglomerations, both in a strong aging process, but in cultural contexts: a large European metropolis, Paris; and a medium sized North-American city, Montreal. Many common conclusions derived from the two different cases studies reinforce the possibility of generalizing the conclusions to other situations.
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Availability:
- Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/oclc/7802200
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Supplemental Notes:
- Abstract reprinted with permission from Taylor and Francis
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Authors:
- Dejoux, Virginie
- Bussiere, Yves D
- Madres, Jean-Loup
- Armoogum, Jimmy
- Publication Date: 2010-7
Language
- English
Media Info
- Media Type: Print
- Features: Figures; References; Tables;
- Pagination: pp 495-515
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Serial:
- Transport Reviews
- Volume: 30
- Issue Number: 4
- Publisher: Routledge
- ISSN: 0144-1647
- EISSN: 1464-5327
- Serial URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/loi/ttrv20
Subject/Index Terms
- TRT Terms: Aged; Automobile ownership; Case studies; Demand responsive transportation; Demographics; Forecasting; Mobility; Travel demand; Travel patterns
- Geographic Terms: Montreal (Canada); Paris (France)
- Subject Areas: Highways; Public Transportation; Society;
Filing Info
- Accession Number: 01165553
- Record Type: Publication
- Files: TRIS, ATRI
- Created Date: Aug 23 2010 8:31AM