Understanding the Role of Deterrence in Counterterrorism Security

This paper presents a conceptual model for comprehending the deterrence (or sometimes displacement) effect of security systems on terrorist attacks. It also offers a framework for measuring the relative deterrent value of various security systems. Deterrence is a concept that is not well measured or understood. The paper provides a discussion of the role of deterrence on homeland security counterterrorism strategy. It ponders adaptations that potential attackers might make in response to security actions and efforts. It also examines the relationship between deterrence and risk transfer. Risk transfer is defined as the possibility that a successful deterrence operation might cause increased hazards to another target, including some targets which the defender highly values.

• Record URL:
  • http://www.dtic.mil/cgi-bin/GetTRDoc?Location=U2&doc=GetTRDoc.pdf&AD=ADA515296
• 
• Corporate Authors:

  RAND Corporation

  1776 Main Street, P.O. Box 2138
  Santa Monica, CA  United States  90407-2138
• Authors:
  • Morral, Andrew R
  • Jackson, Brian A
• Publication Date: 2009

Language

• English

Media Info

• Media Type: Web
• Edition: Occasional Paper
• Features: Bibliography; Figures;
• Pagination: 44p

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: National security; Prevention; Risk assessment; Strategic planning; Terrorism
• Uncontrolled Terms: Counterterrorism; Deterrence; Risk transfer
• Subject Areas: Security and Emergencies; Transportation (General); I72: Traffic and Transport Planning; I80: Accident Studies;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 01150751
• Record Type: Publication
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Feb 19 2010 10:59AM