Using Mobile Phones to Forecast Arterial Traffic through Statistical Learning

This article introduces the new component of Mobile Millennium dedicated to arterial traffic. Mobile Millennium is a pilot system for collecting, processing and broadcasting real-time traffic conditions through the use of global position system (GPS) equipped smartphones. Two algorithms that use data from GPS equipped smartphones to estimate arterial traffic conditions are presented, analyzed and compared. The algorithms are based on Logistic Regression and Spatio-Temporal Auto Regressive Moving Average (STARMA), respectively. Each algorithm contains a learning component, which produces estimates of spatio-temporal parameters for describing interactions between the states of arterial links in the network. Additionally, each algorithm contains an inference component, which gives the procedure for processing real-time data into short-term forecasts using these parameters. The algorithms are tested with simulation data obtained from the Paramics software, and from a field test in New York. Both methods provide encouraging results in forecasting arterial traffic conditions using sparse GPS data.

• Corporate Authors:

  Transportation Research Board

  500 Fifth Street, NW
  Washington, DC  United States  20001
• Authors:
  • Herring, Ryan
  • Hofleitner, Aude
  • Amin, Saurabh
  • Abou Nasr, Tania
  • Khalek, Amin Abdel
  • Abbeel, Pieter
  • Bayen, Alexandre M
  • 0000-0002-6697-222X
• Conference:
  • Transportation Research Board 89th Annual Meeting
  • Location: Washington DC, United States
  • Date: 2010-1-10 to 2010-1-14
• Date: 2010

Language

• English

Media Info

• Media Type: DVD
• Features: Figures; Maps; Photos; References;
• Pagination: 22p
• Monograph Title: TRB 89th Annual Meeting Compendium of Papers DVD

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Arterial highways; Automated highways; Global Positioning System; Highway operations; Real time information; Smartphones; Statistical analysis; Traffic simulation; Wireless communication systems
• Uncontrolled Terms: Auto regressive moving average
• Subject Areas: Highways; Operations and Traffic Management; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 01154426
• Record Type: Publication
• Report/Paper Numbers: 10-2493
• Files: TRIS, TRB
• Created Date: Apr 14 2010 7:14AM