DEMONSTRATION OF A SIMPLIFIED MODEL FOR SMALL URBAN AREAS

A simple and straightforward method for forecasting highway traffic that was applied in Plaistow, Hew Hampshire, is described. The method requires an external origin-destination survey, demographic forecasts, and good ground counts. No home interview survey or demand model calibration is required. The approach combines a Fratar expansion of external trip tables with a factoring of internal travel on a link-by-link basis to produce a forecast of total automobile travel by link. A unique feature is that the link-by-link factoring of internal travel is directly related to the growth of population and employment in internal zones. This is done by means of an artificial trip-generation and gravity model that requires no calibration. The method produced logical results for Plaistow and appears to have promise for other applications. /Author/

• Record URL:
  • http://onlinepubs.trb.org/Onlinepubs/trr/1978/677/677-014.pdf
• Summary URL:
  • https://scholar.google.com/scholar_lookup?title=DEMONSTRATION+OF+A+SIMPLIFIED+MODEL+FOR+SMALL+URBAN+AREAS&author=D.+Rhodes&author=T.+Hillegass&publication_year=1978
• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/issn/03611981
• Supplemental Notes:
  • Publication of this paper sponsored by Committee on Transportation Planning Needs and Requirements of Small and Medium-Sized Communities. Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
• Authors:
  • Rhodes, Donald
  • Hillegass, Thomas J
• Publication Date: 1978

Media Info

• Media Type: Print
• Features: Figures; Maps; References;
• Pagination: pp 76-81
• Monograph Title: Transportation System Analysis
• Serial:
  • Transportation Research Record
  • Issue Number: 677
  • Publisher: Transportation Research Board
  • ISSN: 0361-1981

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Forecasting; Gravity models; Loess; Small cities; Traffic; Trip generation; Urban areas
• Old TRIS Terms: Loess soils
• Subject Areas: Highways; Operations and Traffic Management; Planning and Forecasting;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00195976
• Record Type: Publication
• ISBN: 0309028221
• Files: TRIS, TRB
• Created Date: Sep 15 1979 12:00AM