LONG-TERM FORECASTING OF VEHICLE OWNERSHIP AND ROAD TRAFFIC

Methods of forecasting long-term growth of car ownership and of road traffic for Great Britain are described, and earlier forecasts for 1975 are compared with the actual outcome. Recent analyses of car ownership data are summarized, and this leads to a modified form of the forecasting model. This kind of forecasting presents many difficulties; a number of these are discussed. A discussion on the paper is included. /TRRL/

• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/issn/09641998
• Corporate Authors:

  Royal Statistical Society

  21 Bentinck Street
  London W1M 6AR,   England 
• Authors:
  • TANNER, J C
• Publication Date: 1978

Language

• English

Media Info

• Features: Figures; References; Tables;
• Pagination: p. 14-62
• Serial:
  • JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY
  • Volume: 141
  • Issue Number: PT1
  • Publisher: Blackwell Publishers
  • ISSN: 0964-1998

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Economics; Forecasting; Highway traffic; Income; Mathematical analysis; Mathematical models; Motor vehicles; Operating costs; Ownership; Population; Statistics; Time
• Uncontrolled Terms: Increase
• Geographic Terms: United Kingdom
• Old TRIS Terms: Vehicular traffic
• ITRD Terms: 6471: Analysis (math); 255: Economics; 132: Forecast; 256: Income; 9032: Increase; 6473: Mathematical model; 221: Operating costs; 335: Population; 6555: Statistics; 5414: Time; 8119: United Kingdom; 315: Vehicle ownership
• Subject Areas: Data and Information Technology; Economics; Highways; Operations and Traffic Management; Planning and Forecasting; Society; I71: Traffic Theory; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00189215
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: Transport and Road Research Laboratory (TRRL)
• Report/Paper Numbers: Monograph, Series A
• Files: ITRD, TRIS
• Created Date: Apr 12 2003 12:00AM