Modeling motor vehicle crashes for street racers using zero-inflated models

Motor vehicle crashes are a leading cause of death for young people in the United States. Assessing which drivers are at a high risk of experiencing a crash is important for the implementation of traffic regulations. Illegal street racing has been associated with a high rate of motor vehicle crashes. In this study, we link Utah statewide driver license citations and motor vehicle crash data to evaluate the rate of crashes for drivers with street racing citations relative to other drivers. Using a zero-inflated negative binomial model we found that drivers with no citations are approximately three times more likely to be at zero risk of a crash compared to drivers with street racing citations. Moreover, among drivers at non-negligible risk of crash, cited street racers are more likely to be involved in a crash compared to drivers without citations or those cited for violations other than street racing. However, drivers with increased numbers of non-street-racing citations experience crash risks approaching those of the cited street racers.

• Record URL:
  • http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/B6V5S-4PVR2V0-1/1/741c271d7f8dcdda7fd4aaad640b5822
• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/issn/00014575
• Supplemental Notes:
  • Abstract reprinted with permission from Elsevier
• Authors:
  • Li, Zhuo
  • Knight, Stacey
  • Cook, Lawrence J
  • Hyde, Lisa K
  • Holubkov, Richard
  • Olson, Lenora M
• Publication Date: 2008-3

Language

• English

Media Info

• Media Type: Print
• Features: Figures; References; Tables;
• Pagination: pp 835-839
• Serial:
  • Accident Analysis & Prevention
  • Volume: 40
  • Issue Number: 2
  • Publisher: Elsevier
  • ISSN: 0001-4575
  • Serial URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/00014575

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Binomial distributions; Crash risk forecasting; High risk drivers; Racing; Traffic violators
• Geographic Terms: Utah
• Subject Areas: Highways; Safety and Human Factors; Security and Emergencies; I83: Accidents and the Human Factor;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 01095638
• Record Type: Publication
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Apr 29 2008 2:20PM