SHORT-TERM COAL DEMAND MODELLING

Historically, coal demand has been differentiated into four major components: coal demand by utilities; industrial and other retail coal demand; metallurgical coal demand; and export demand for coal. Due to the marked differences in these four sectors, the factors upon which expected consumption depends, and the quantity and quality of available data, each sector was modeled separately. The model described is based upon econometric principles and methodologies. The model is used to forecast the consumption of coal over the next three years. The results indicate an aggregate 4.9 annual growth in demand over 1976 levels.

• Corporate Authors:

  Marcel Dekker, Incorporated

  270 Madison Avenue
  New York, NY  United States  10016
• Authors:
  • Cohen, B N
  • Uri, N D
  • Maybee, J S
• Publication Date: 1978

Media Info

• Pagination: p. 405-431
• Serial:
  • Energy Communications
  • Volume: 4
  • Issue Number: 5
  • Publisher: Marcel Dekker, Incorporated

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Coal; Coal industry; Forecasting; Freight traffic; International trade; Mathematical models; Public utilities; Steel plants; Traffic forecasting
• Uncontrolled Terms: Utilities
• Subject Areas: Freight Transportation; Planning and Forecasting; Railroads; Terminals and Facilities;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00188353
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: Engineering Index
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Feb 27 1979 12:00AM