Evaluation of the Oregon DMV Driver Improvement Program
This report provides an evaluation of the Oregon Department of Transportation-Driver and Motor Vehicle (DMV) Services Driver Improvement Program (DIP), which was substantially changed in 2002. Prior to 2002, the DIP was organized around four progressive steps involving advisory letters, warning letters, probation, and suspension. The current program is organized around two steps: restriction and suspension. The timeline to the steps in the current program have also been shortened. To evaluate the current program, driver records of persons suspended between January and July of 2004 were examined in relation to a sample of Oregon’s driving population. The incidence of crashes and traffic offense convictions of DIP subjects in the 18-month period prior to suspension was compared to the incidence of these events among the driving population. A similar comparison was also made for the 18-month period following suspension. A substantial reduction in the relative incidence of crashes and convictions among DIP subjects following suspension was observed. This finding is subject to the effects of regression-to-the-mean. An approximation of regression-to-the-mean effects was made based on prior evaluations of Oregon’s DIP that employed a true experimental design. A regression analysis was also undertaken using driver record information from the period prior to suspension to estimate the likelihood of post-suspension crash and traffic offense conviction involvement. The estimated likelihood of post-suspension crash involvement was significantly affected by the frequency of pre-suspension crashes, but not by the frequency of pre-suspension convictions. Conversely, the estimated likelihood of postsuspension convictions was significantly affected by the frequency of pre-suspension convictions, but not by the frequency of pre-suspension crashes. Two changes in the DIP are suggested in the concluding section of the report. The first change involves re-instituting warning letters, given their demonstrated cost effectiveness in the driver improvement literature. The second change involves the assignment of greater weight to crashes in triggering license actions, based on the regression findings.
- Record URL:
-
- Record URL:
-
Corporate Authors:
Portland State University
Center for Urban Studies, P.O. Box 751
Portland, OR United States 97207-0751Oregon Department of Transportation
Research Section, 200 Hawthorne Avenue, SE, Suite B-240
Salem, OR United States 97301-5192Federal Highway Administration
1200 New Jersey Avenue, SE
Washington, DC United States 20590 -
Authors:
- Strathman, James G
- Kimpel, Thomas J
- Leistner, Paul
- Publication Date: 2007-4
Language
- English
Media Info
- Media Type: Print
- Edition: Final Report
- Features: Appendices; Figures; References; Tables;
- Pagination: 122p
Subject/Index Terms
- TRT Terms: Before and after studies; Driver improvement programs; Driver records; Regression analysis; Suspensions; Traffic conviction; Traffic crashes; Warnings (Police operations)
- Uncontrolled Terms: Driver licensing restrictions
- Geographic Terms: Oregon
- Subject Areas: Data and Information Technology; Highways; Safety and Human Factors; I83: Accidents and the Human Factor;
Filing Info
- Accession Number: 01049667
- Record Type: Publication
- Report/Paper Numbers: FHWA-OR-RD-07-08
- Contract Numbers: SPR 634
- Files: NTL, TRIS, USDOT, STATEDOT
- Created Date: May 24 2007 7:56AM