Assessing the Risk to Suburban Activities Associated with Transport Energy Availability as a Function of Urban Form
This paper describes method to model the energy reliance of transport activities within a suburb. The method employs risk analysis techniques to determine the vulnerability of suburban developments to a fuel shortage event or crisis. The focus of this work is on preliminary assessments of the vulnerability of developments, not on determining post-crisis behavior changes, which may affect mode choices and travel patterns. Energy shortages are modeled as a constraint on existing levels of fuel consumption and vulnerability is determined by comparing current residential fuel consumption to a constrained energy availability scenario (fuel shortage). A case study in a new suburban development in Christchurch, New Zealand, illustrates the vulnerability for accessing an important activity, food shopping, and indicates the degree of impact which would precipitate behavioral and physical changes.
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Corporate Authors:
500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC United States 20001 -
Authors:
- Dantas, Andre
- Krumdieck, Susan
- Saunders, Michael
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Conference:
- Transportation Research Board 85th Annual Meeting
- Location: Washington DC, United States
- Date: 2006-1-22 to 2006-1-26
- Date: 2006
Language
- English
Media Info
- Media Type: CD-ROM
- Features: Figures; References; Tables;
- Pagination: 23p
- Monograph Title: TRB 85th Annual Meeting Compendium of Papers CD-ROM
Subject/Index Terms
- TRT Terms: Crisis management; Demand; Energy consumption; Food; Fuel conservation; Fuel consumption; Mode choice; Public transit; Shopping; Shortages; Suburbs; Travel behavior
- Geographic Terms: Christchurch (New Zealand)
- Subject Areas: Administration and Management; Energy; Environment; Highways; Public Transportation; I15: Environment;
Filing Info
- Accession Number: 01020270
- Record Type: Publication
- Report/Paper Numbers: 06-2980
- Files: TRIS, TRB
- Created Date: Mar 3 2006 11:11AM