Commuter flows in London and the Wider South East 2001 to 2016/21 - final report submitted to the Corporation of London and partners

This report is the result of a project commissioned by a consortium of 10 authorities in SE England. It analyses current and prospective commuting flows to 2021in London, the South East and the East of England. Changes in lifestyle preference such as young professionals living within the city but high-income professionals with families having longer commuting distances are noted. Males were more likely to commute long distances, to have full time jobs, to have professional or high income jobs and to use bicycles or cars than women. Rail and underground use is concentrated in the area of greatest employment density and greatest residential density. Transport mode is dependent on distance travelled, with the longest journeys into central London by rail. Commuting confined to Outer London is generally by car. Counties to the west of London have a higher concentration of jobs than those to the east. The increase in professional and high income jobs in the wider South East has been accompanied by an increase in commuting distances. A slight decrease in the length of commuting journeys is forecast by 2016. It is predicted that the number of people choosing to live in London will increase and less commuting to the capital will occur. The labour force in the East of England is predicted to grow more rapidly than the availability of workplaces. No major change in trip lengths is predicted. In spite of increased supply of rail and underground transport, overcrowding is still expected to be a major issue in 2016. A 5% decrease in car commuting but a 31% increase in rail / underground passenger kilometres and a 15% increase in bus passenger kilometres is predicted.

• Corporate Authors:

  CAMBRIDGE ECONOMETRICS

  COVENT GARDEN
  CAMBRIDGE,   United Kingdom  CB1 2HS

  London School of Economics and Political Science

  ,    

  WSP Group, Private Limited Company

  ,   United Kingdom 

  Cambridge Econometrics

  ,    
• Publication Date: 2005-7-25

Language

• English

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Business districts; Decision making; Forecasting; Length; Location; Metropolitan areas; Modal split; Transportation modes; Travel; Work trips
• Uncontrolled Terms: Selection
• Geographic Terms: United Kingdom
• ITRD Terms: 302: Business district; 385: Conurbation; 2248: Decision process; 132: Forecast; 698: Journey; 621: Journey to work; 6488: Length; 9061: Location; 675: Modal split; 9072: Selection; 1145: Transport mode; 8119: United Kingdom
• Subject Areas: Planning and Forecasting; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 01018407
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: Transport Research Laboratory
• Files: ITRD
• Created Date: Feb 2 2006 8:22AM