PROCEEDINGS YEAR 2000 ALTERNATIVE TRANSPORTATION FUTURES CONFERENCE, MARCH 10, 1976

Many factors will affect the needs, performance, costs and impacts associated with the Chicago region's transportation system during the next 25 years. The 'ranges' workshops were concerned with selection of variables and definition of ranges of values and covered the following topics: energy, regional economy, technology, financial resources, regulatory directions, and societal attitudes. The document also contains profiles of the three futures defined by the conference. Each of the three profiles represents a possible outcome of changes in energy availability as defined by the conference. The energy abundant future is characterized by price stability for petroleum fuels, no increase in the rate of substitution for those fuels, and no change in the substitution of communications for transportation. At the other extreme, the energy scarce future is characterized by a four-fold increase in energy price and a relatively large shift to various other nonpetroleum fuel sources for transportation. The intermediate future defined by the conference is, as expected, somewhere between the two extremes. The products of this, the Chicago region's first experience with exploring the future in a conference setting, should be applicable to the long range transportation planning process in the area. While it is apparent that the conference results cannot serve as inputs to forecasting models, they can color three major aspects of the planning process: definition of alternative plans, demand estimation and performance testing, and evaluation of alternative plans.

• Supplemental Notes:
  • Sponsored in part by Northwestern Univ., Evanston, Ill.
• Corporate Authors:

  Chicago Area Transportation Study

  300 West Adams Street
  Chicago, IL  United States  60606

  Northwestern University, Evanston

  Transportation Center, Leverone Hall
  Evanston, IL  United States  60201
• Authors:
  • Biciunas, A E
  • Moses, L N
• Publication Date: 1976

Media Info

• Pagination: 143 p.

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Economic factors; Energy conservation; Energy resources; Financing; Forecasting; Mathematical models; Meetings; Passengers; Planning; Regional planning; Socioeconomic factors; Sociology; Technology; Transportation; Transportation operations; Travel demand; Urban areas; Urban transportation
• Identifier Terms: Chicago Area Transportation Study
• Uncontrolled Terms: Transportation management; Transportation models
• Geographic Terms: Illinois
• Old TRIS Terms: Energy shortage
• Subject Areas: Economics; Energy; Environment; Planning and Forecasting; Society; Transportation (General);

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00175891
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: National Technical Information Service
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Jun 28 1978 12:00AM