AIRPORT DEVELOPMENT IN SOUTH WALES AND THE SOUTH WEST REGION OF ENGLAND

This study covered an area which would be the origin or destination of over 9 million international air travellers by 1990, and included 16 counties and 8 local government districts. The forecasting of passengers (international and domestic) at airports, and the costs and benefits of each system are detailed. Having determined the demand for air services by route, place of origin, or destination in the study area, by type, market (charter or schedule), and by type of passenger (business or leisure/foreign or UK resident), an allocation procedure was applied to the forecasts to determine the airports that the air traveller will use. The basis of the traffic allocation procedure model is that, faced with a choice of airports to reach a chosen destination, the air traveller will tend to choose the cheapest airport alternative. The cost used in the passenger allocation model as well as other costs are discussed. Comments are made on the costs associated with airport closures. The results of the cost benefit analysis are presented, and the results are assessed. The study found that because of the proximity of the area to London and Birmingham, most of the potential passengers travel through airports outside the area. The largest airport forecast in the region by 1990 is one of 2.6 million passengers and no airport in the area will be profitable by 1990. Further study conclusions relating to environment, siting, and the best airport system are also presented.

• Corporate Authors:

  Civil Aviation Authority, England

  Space House, 43/59 Kingsway
  London WC2B 6TE,   England 
• Publication Date: 1975-8

Media Info

• Features: Figures; Tables;
• Pagination: 46 p.

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Airports; Benefit cost analysis; Costs; Environment; Lane closure; Location; Mathematical models; Traffic estimation; Traffic forecasting; Travel demand
• Uncontrolled Terms: Closures
• Old TRIS Terms: Airport location
• Subject Areas: Aviation; Finance; Planning and Forecasting; Terminals and Facilities;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00173687
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: Civil Aviation Authority, England
• Report/Paper Numbers: CAP 377
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Apr 26 1978 12:00AM