THE DRIVER DEMERIT POINT SYSTEM IN ONTARIO AS A LONG-TERM PREDICTOR OF COLLISIONS

We followed the driver records of a cohort of Ontario drivers, originally at five demerit point levels, for 4 1/2 years. Those originally at higher levels had consistently higher conviction and collision rates in none subsequent six month periods. The occurrence of any conviction was more strongly associated with subsequent collision than were only convictions associated with demerit points. The simple frequency of convictions seems to be the most promising predictor of future collisions. /HSRI/

• Corporate Authors:

  American Association for Automotive Medicine

  801 Green Bay Road
  Lake Bluff, IL  United States  60044
• Authors:
  • Chipman, M L
  • Morgan, P P
• Conference:
  • 20th Annual Conference of the American Association for Automotive Medicine
  • Date: 1976-11-1 to 1976-11-3
• Publication Date: 1976

Media Info

• Features: Figures; References; Tables;
• Pagination: p. 45-51
• Serial:
  • Volume: 20

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Forecasting; Traffic conviction
• Subject Areas: Highways; Safety and Human Factors;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00144183
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: Highway Safety Research Institute
• Contract Numbers: DOT-HS-024-1-115
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Apr 13 1977 12:00AM