PREDICTION OF MOTOR VEHICLE OCCUPANT FATALITY TRENDS FOLLOWING SEAT BELT WEARING LEGISLATION

One of the most important road safety measures introduced in Australia in recent years has been the legislation on compulsory wearing of seat belts in motor vehicles. As a result of this measure, road traffic accident fatalities are now some 10 to 20 per cent below the pre-legislation trend. An accurate analysis of the post-legislation casualty trends is not straight forward because of the small amount of post-legislation data available, and because new road safety measures are being continually introduced. It is important to quantify the effect of the legislation so that accurate assessments of new road safety measures can be carried out. The paper describes an initial attempt at developing a model for the predicted reduction in occupants killed resulting from a large increase in seat belt wearing rates, and at calibrating the model using Victorian data. (Author) /TRRL/

• Record URL:
  http://arrbknowledge.com
• Supplemental Notes:
  • Proceedings of the 8th Conference.
• Corporate Authors:

  ARRB

  Melbourne, Victoria  Australia 
• Authors:
  • Cowley, J E
  • CAMERON, M H
• Conference:
  • Australian Road Research Board Conference Proc
• Publication Date: 1976

Language

• English

Media Info

• Features: Figures; References; Tables;
• Pagination: p. 20-30
• Serial:
  • Volume: 8

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Conferences; Crash rates; Crashes; Fatalities; Forecasting; Injuries; Laws; Legislation; Manual safety belts; Mathematical models; Motor vehicles; Prevention; Safety; Statistics; Traffic regulations; Travelers; Trend (Statistics); Vehicle occupancy
• Uncontrolled Terms: Models
• Geographic Terms: Australia
• ITRD Terms: 1643: Accident; 8006: Australia; 8525: Conference; 1602: Fatality; 132: Forecast; 2163: Injury; 1556: Legislation; 9149: Prevention; 1755: Road user; 1665: Safety; 1476: Safety belt; 6555: Statistics; 1544: Traffic regulations; 6515: Trend (stat)
• Subject Areas: Data and Information Technology; Highways; Law; Safety and Human Factors; Security and Emergencies; Society; I81: Accident Statistics;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00164114
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: Transport and Road Research Laboratory (TRRL)
• Files: ITRD, TRIS, ATRI
• Created Date: Jan 13 1978 12:00AM