SPILL RISK ANALYSIS PROGRAM. METHODOLOGY DEVELOPMENT AND DEMONSTRATION. VOLUME I

This report describes research and results in the development and demonstration of systematic methods of assessing the effectiveness of either proposed or recently implemented merchant marine safety regulations. The methods have been designed primarily to assist Coast Guard regulatory decision-makers in their selection of alternative means of reducing marine transportation casualties and spills of hazardous or polluting materials. The methodology involves both analytical and logical modeling of merchant marine operations and the casualty process. Analytic modeling of ship collisions is primarily in terms of the physical parameters (e.g., vessel size, speed, maneuverability) of the system, but human response parameters are also considered. Logical modeling of casualties addresses the effects of changes in regulations and involves the structured conduct of quasi-experiments using the Coast Guard data base of marine casualty reports. A preliminary analysis of the Coast Guard Pollution Incident Reporting System (PIRS) is also included. This report supplements, but does not replace information contained in Report No. CG-D-15-75, Spill Risk Analysis Program Phase II Methodology Development and Demonstration (NTIS AD-785026). (Author)

• Supplemental Notes:
  • Supplement to Rept. no. USCG-D-15-75, AD-785 026. See also Volume 2, AD-A042 978.
• Corporate Authors:

  Operations Research Incorporated

  Silver Spring, MD  United States 
• Authors:
  • Stoehr, LLA
  • Morgan, C H
  • Reiffler, F J
  • Tullier, P M
• Publication Date: 1977-4

Media Info

• Pagination: 286 p.

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Casualties; Crash avoidance systems; Decision making; Inland waterways; Mathematical models; Merchant vessels; Oil spills; Regulations; Risk analysis; Safety; Spills (Pollution); Tankers; Water pollution; Water quality management; Water traffic; Water transportation
• Identifier Terms: United States Coast Guard
• Old TRIS Terms: Spilling; Water pollution abatement
• Subject Areas: Law; Marine Transportation; Safety and Human Factors;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00166474
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: National Technical Information Service
• Report/Paper Numbers: ORI-TR-964-Vol-1, USCG-D-21-77
• Contract Numbers: DOT-CG-31571-A
• Files: NTIS
• Created Date: Oct 29 2002 12:00AM