DEMAND FORECASTING FOR RURAL TRANSIT

Demand forecasting for rural transit is a tool that will aid rural planners and analysts in the allocation of scarce resources for this typically underserved population. Three Washington models are based on the characteristics of usage for several regional transportation systems currently in place in nonmetropolitan areas in Washington State. The first model, Total Transit Demand-All (TTD-ALL) uses average values for ridership by population subgroup from four regional systems in Washington to predict ridership for other areas. A second model, Total Transit Demand-FARE (TTD-FARE) uses the same approach as the first but excludes the fare-free regional transportation system which has markedly different characteristics from the systems with fares. A third, more in-depth model, Disaggregated Transit Demand (DTD), was developed using a separate equation for each population subgroup. Ridership behavior estimates were obtained from random sample telephone surveys in two of the regions used in this study. Model results show significant regional variation in ridership by population subgroup.

• Record URL:
  http://www.wsdot.wa.gov/research/reports/fullreports/470.1.pdf
• Record URL:
  https://ntlrepository.blob.core.windows.net/lib/5000/5500/5529/demand_rural_trans_WARD_4701.pdf
• 
• Corporate Authors:

  Washington State University, Pullman

  Washington State Transportation Center
  Pullman, WA  United States  99164

  Washington State Department of Transportation

  Transportation Building, 310 Maple Park Avenue SE, P.O. Box 47300
  Olympia, WA  United States  98504-7300
• Authors:
  • Painter, K M
  • Casavant, K L
• Publication Date: 1999-6

Language

• English

Media Info

• Media Type: Digital/other
• Features: Appendices; Figures; References; Tables;
• Pagination: 49 p.

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Forecasting; Mathematical models; Ridership; Rural transit; Travel demand
• Geographic Terms: Washington (State)
• Subject Areas: Planning and Forecasting; Public Transportation;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00778842
• Record Type: Publication
• Report/Paper Numbers: WA-RD 470.1,, Final Report
• Contract Numbers: T9902-19
• Files: UTC, NTL, TRIS, ATRI, STATEDOT
• Created Date: Nov 4 1999 12:00AM