RISK ANALYSIS AS A TOOL TO DETERMINE DESIGN LOAD DUE TO EXPLOSION IN A TUNNEL

This paper presents a method for estimation of the design load due to explosion in a tunnel. The method is based on risk analysis together with cost-benefit comparison and was applied in particular for the load bearing structure in Ringen in Stockholm. Risk is defined as a measure of the probability and the severity of an explosion and is expressed in terms of cost. The analysis takes into account risk connected with the accidents or adverse events during the normal operation stage of this tunnel. The stages of the analysis were: to determine causes of an explosion, estimate probabilities, consequences and calculate the risk. Two alternatives of the tunnel were studied: one structure with normal and one with increased resistance. For each alternative, the yearly cost of risk was determined and the savings in risk were compared with the cost for increase of the resistance. (A) For the covering abstract see IRRD E101472.

• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/isbn/3857480963
• Corporate Authors:

  International Association for Bridge and Structural Engineering

  ETH-Honggerberg, Wolfgang-Pauli-Strasse 15
  Zurich 8093,   Switzerland  CH-8093
• Authors:
  • AHLENIUS, E
• Conference:
  • PROCEEDINGS OF THE IABSE COLLOQUIUM HELD STOCKHOLM 1998 - TUNNEL STRUCTURES. IABSE REPORTS: VOLUME 78
• Publication Date: 1998

Language

• English

Media Info

• Features: References;
• Pagination: p. 265-76

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Benefit cost analysis; Conferences; Crashes; Design; Forecasting; Hazards; Loads; Mathematical analysis; Methodology; Presplitting (Blasting); Probability; Tunnels; Urban areas
• Geographic Terms: Sweden
• ITRD Terms: 1643: Accident; 6471: Analysis (math); 5188: Blasting; 8525: Conference; 226: Cost benefit analysis; 9011: Design (overall design); 132: Forecast; 5567: Load; 9102: Method; 6534: Probability; 9150: Risk; 8109: Sweden; 3374: Tunnel; 313: Urban area
• Subject Areas: Bridges and other structures; Data and Information Technology; Design; Safety and Human Factors;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00766997
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: Transport Research Laboratory
• ISBN: 3-85748-096-3
• Files: ITRD
• Created Date: Aug 2 1999 12:00AM