THE HIGHWAY CORRIDOR: PREDICTING THE CONSEQUENCES OF ALTERNATIVE HIGHWAY LOCATIONS. PHASE II

The purpose of this study is to develop and calibrate a model capable of predicting the economic impacts of new highways at the minor civil division level. The model is applicable to rural boroughs and townships within 10 miles of a proposed new facility, and is to be used at the corridor planning level. A very important practical consideration is that application of the model requires only the collection of secondary data. The model consists of a set of predictive equations which assess the impact of highway location on the following variables: (1) population, (2) personal income, (3) manufacturing employment, (4) retail and selected service sales and employment, (5) market value of real estate, (6) local government millage rate. The model was calibrated by using data from 271 minor civil divisions (110 boroughs and 161 townships) located in six different highway corridors.

• Supplemental Notes:
  • Sponsored in part by Pennsylvania Department of Transportation, Harrisburg, Bureau of Advanced Planning. Prepared in cooperation with Pennsylvania State University, University Park, Institute for Research on Land and Water Resources. See also PB-226 076.
• Corporate Authors:

  Pennsylvania State University, University Park

  Pennsylvania Transportation Institute, Transportation Research Building
  University Park, PA  United States  16802

  Pennsylvania State University, University Park

  Institute for Research on Land and Water Resources
  University Park, PA  United States  16802

  Federal Highway Administration

  Division of Socio-Economic Studies, 1200 New Jersey Avenue, SE
  Washington, DC  United States  20590

  Pennsylvania Department of Transportation

  Bureau of Advanced Planning
  Harrisburg, PA  United States  17120
• Authors:
  • Sauerlender, O H
  • Davinroy, T B
  • Pagano, A M
  • PALLEY, J P
  • Hargroves, B T
• Publication Date: 1976-8

Media Info

• Pagination: 333 p.

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Demographics; Economic impacts; Employment; Equations; Factor analysis; Forecasting; Highway corridors; Highway planning; Highways; Income; Local government; Location; Mathematical models; Mathematical prediction; Population; Real property; Rural areas; Urban areas
• Uncontrolled Terms: Building sites; Highway location; Models
• Subject Areas: Data and Information Technology; Design; Economics; Highways; Society;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00151819
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: National Technical Information Service
• Report/Paper Numbers: PT1-7605 Final Rpt., FHWA/SES-77/02
• Files: TRIS, USDOT, STATEDOT
• Created Date: May 11 1977 12:00AM