HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVES ON RISK FOR LARGE-SCALE TECHNOLOGICAL SYSTEMS

An empirical study of historical trends in the risks sustained by participating populations for various large-scale technological systems is presented. Results are reported for three system categorizations: Natural Hazards, Man-Made Hazards, and Occupational Hazards. A new model for risk assessment is introduced that avoids the problems associated with assessing the value of a human life in risk-benefit decision making. The model treats risk terms of loss of life expectancy.

• Corporate Authors:

  University of California, Los Angeles

  School of Architecture and Urban Planning
  Los Angeles, CA  United States  90024

  National Science Foundation

  Research Applied to National Needs
  Washington, DC  United States  20550
• Authors:
  • Baldewicz, W
  • Haddock, G
  • Lee, Y
  • WHITLEY, R
  • Denny, V
• Publication Date: 1974-11

Media Info

• Pagination: 173 p.

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Analysis; Benefit cost analysis; Coal mining; Confidence limits; Fatalities; Fire fighting; Forecasting; Hazard analysis; Hazards; Human factors; Legal factors; Mathematical models; Natural resources; Public health; Risk analysis; Risk assessment; Safety; Steel plants; Technology; Transportation
• Uncontrolled Terms: Mortality
• Old TRIS Terms: Analytical techniques
• Subject Areas: Safety and Human Factors; Transportation (General);

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00151337
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: National Technical Information Service
• Report/Paper Numbers: UCLA-ENG-7485, NSF/RA/X-74/048
• Contract Numbers: NSF-GI-39416
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Apr 13 1977 12:00AM