FORECASTING BUS TRANSIT OPERATING COSTS

The study deals with forecasting the cost of operating bus transit systems in U.S. cities. The primary objective is to develop a practical forecasting model for use by transit planners, i.e., a tool that will provide quantitative estimates (forecasts) of operating costs for any proposed bus transit system. The final product is a composite of several models, each of which forecasts a different component of operating cost. Total operating cost is found by simply summing the component forecasts. These models are based on data supplied by the American Public Transit Association, plus a direct industry survey, undertaken as part of the research effort. The four resource categories for which models are developed are driver labor, bus repair labor, fuel consumption, and oil consumption. A single model is developed for all other operating cost.

• Supplemental Notes:
  • Prepared in cooperation with Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, Dept. of Business Logistics.
• Corporate Authors:

  Pennsylvania State University, University Park

  Pennsylvania Transportation Institute, Transportation Research Building
  University Park, PA  United States  16802

  Pennsylvania State University, University Park

  Department of Business Logisties
  University Park, PA  United States  16802
• Authors:
  • Wilson, H G
• Publication Date: 1975-11

Media Info

• Pagination: 163 p.

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Bus transportation; Buses; Forecasting; Fuel consumption; Labor costs; Labor market; Maintenance; Mathematical models; Metropolitan areas; Operating costs; Urban transportation
• Uncontrolled Terms: Models
• Subject Areas: Economics; Energy; Finance; Highways; Maintenance and Preservation; Motor Carriers; Public Transportation; Society;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00151159
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: National Technical Information Service
• Report/Paper Numbers: PTI-7524, UMTA-PA-11-0010-77-1
• Files: NTIS, TRIS
• Created Date: Mar 30 1981 12:00AM