DISAGGREGATE BEHAVIOR MODEL OF AUTOMOBILE OWNERSHIP

This paper describes a series of disaggregate behavioral models that forecast the probability that various combinations of automobile ownership and travel modes to work will be selected by households. The models assume that workplace and residential location are predetermined. The multinomial logit model is used in a joint structure that captures the complex interrelationship of automobile ownership and travel-to-work decisons. The paper describes the considerations in the choice of independent variables and the specification of the utility functions. The estimation results for each of 7 distinct socioeconomic groups, or market segments, with different behavioral characteristics are presented and analyzed. One of the models than is used to examine the shifts in automobile owernship for a suburban household resulting from alternative levels of transit service improvements.

• Record URL:
  • http://onlinepubs.trb.org/Onlinepubs/trr/1976/569/569-003.pdf
• Record URL:
  • https://scholar.google.com/scholar_lookup?title=DISAGGREGATE+BEHAVIOR+MODEL+OF+AUTOMOBILE+OWNERSHIP&author=S.+Lerman&author=M.+Ben-Akiva&publication_year=1976
• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/isbn/030902482X
• Supplemental Notes:
  • Publication of this paper sponsored by Committee on Passenger Travel Demand Forecasting. Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved
• Authors:
  • Lerman, Steven R
  • Ben-Akiva, Moshe
• Discussers:
  • REID, FRED A
  • Berechman, Joseph
• Conference:
  • 54th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board
  • Location: Washington District of Columbia
  • Date: 1975-1-13 to 1975-1-17
• Publication Date: 1976

Media Info

• Media Type: Print
• Features: Figures; References; Tables;
• Pagination: pp 34-55
• Monograph Title: New approaches to travel forecasting
• Serial:
  • Transportation Research Record
  • Issue Number: 569
  • Publisher: Transportation Research Board
  • ISSN: 0361-1981

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Automobile ownership; Behavior; Disaggregate analysis; Households; Level of service; Location; Logits; Modal split; Residential areas; Residential location; Socioeconomic factors; Work trips
• Old TRIS Terms: Disaggregate models; Modal distribution
• Subject Areas: Economics; Highways; Operations and Traffic Management; Society;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00141290
• Record Type: Publication
• ISBN: 030902482X
• Files: TRIS, TRB
• Created Date: Oct 26 1976 12:00AM