ANALYSIS OF OUTPUT AND POLICY APPLICATIONS FOR AN URBAN SIMULATION MODEL

This paper reports the progress made in developing a regional simulation model. It is essentially a case study of a model- building process. The model is interactive and linked with employment, population, land use, and transportation components. The models have undergone considerable refinement, calibration, and elaboration during this period. In particular, emphasis has been placed on developing a housing model that not only forecasts total supply and demand for the region (i.e., a macrospatial model) and allocates these totals to subareas (i.e., a microspatial model) but also uses these microspatial data to generate successive housing forecasts at the macrolevel. The failure of earlier work to identify such micro-macro gaps and develop suitable linkages is one of the significant shortcomings of simulation modeling, and this paper discusses approaches that have been taken to develop such linkages. The response of the output variables to the inclusion of such links is compared with the output of the model without these links. Some observations about programming and debugging procedures are made. Output under various scenarios is presented, and a few general conclusions are drawn from this output. /Author/

• Record URL:
  • http://onlinepubs.trb.org/Onlinepubs/trr/1976/582/582-006.pdf
• Summary URL:
  • https://scholar.google.com/scholar_lookup?title=ANALYSIS+OF+OUTPUT+AND+POLICY+APPLICATIONS+FOR+AN+URBAN+SIMULATION+MODEL&author=M.+Goldberg&author=J.+Stander&publication_year=1976
• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/isbn/030902496X
• Supplemental Notes:
  • Publication of this paper sponsored by Committee on Urban Activity Systems. Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
• Authors:
  • Goldberg, Michael A
  • Stander, Jeffrey M
• Conference:
  • 54th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board
  • Location: Washington District of Columbia
  • Date: 1975-1-13 to 1975-1-17
• Publication Date: 1976

Media Info

• Media Type: Print
• Features: Figures; References;
• Pagination: pp 61-71
• Monograph Title: Innovations in Transportation System Planning
• Serial:
  • Transportation Research Record
  • Issue Number: 582
  • Publisher: Transportation Research Board
  • ISSN: 0361-1981

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Calibration; Case studies; Components; Demand; Employment; Forecasting; Housings; Land use; Microanalysis; Output; Policy; Population; Simulation; Supply; Urban areas; Urban transportation
• Uncontrolled Terms: Macroscale; Supply and demand
• Subject Areas: Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Policy; Society;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00141286
• Record Type: Publication
• ISBN: 030902496X
• Report/Paper Numbers: Conf Paper
• Files: TRIS, TRB
• Created Date: Nov 3 1976 12:00AM