PREDICTING TRANSPORTER'S CHOICE OF MODE

Every investment decision for transportation projects requires an extensive examination of the amount of anticipated traffic. A statistical technique, discriminant analysis, was used to determine its feasibility and applicability in estimating future traffic. Discriminant analysis is a method to statistically weigh transportation characteristics. This paper discusses an application of discriminant analysis in which travel demand is divided between transportation modes on the Ohio River. This study uses time of transit, distance of transit, annual tonnage, average shipment size, transportation rate, and handling charges as mode characteristics. An increase in the transportation rate, the most significant characteristic influencing mode choice by the user, was simulated (everything else held constant) so that a demand curve for barge transportation could be constructed.

• Record URL:
  • http://onlinepubs.trb.org/Onlinepubs/trr/1976/577/577-002.pdf
• Summary URL:
  • https://scholar.google.com/scholar_lookup?title=PREDICTING+TRANSPORTER%27S+CHOICE+OF+MODE&author=B.+Sasaki&publication_year=1976
• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/isbn/0309024919
• Supplemental Notes:
  • Publication of this paper sponsored by Committee on Passenger and Freight Transportation Characteristics. Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
• Authors:
  • Sasaki, Brion R
• Conference:
  • 54th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board
  • Location: Washington District of Columbia
  • Date: 1975-1-13 to 1975-1-17
• Publication Date: 1976

Media Info

• Media Type: Print
• Features: Figures; References; Tables;
• Pagination: pp 13-18
• Monograph Title: Transportation Characteristics of Truck, Rail, and Water Freight
• Serial:
  • Transportation Research Record
  • Issue Number: 577
  • Publisher: Transportation Research Board
  • ISSN: 0361-1981

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Analysis; Barges; Benefit cost analysis; Discriminant analysis; Economic analysis; Forecasting; Freight traffic; Freight transportation; Investments; Mode choice; Policy; Rates; Traffic forecasting; Transportation; Travel demand
• Old TRIS Terms: Analytical techniques; Discriminate analysis; Government policies; Modal selection; Transportation rates
• Subject Areas: Economics; Policy; Society; Transportation (General);

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00139643
• Record Type: Publication
• ISBN: 0309024919
• Report/Paper Numbers: Conf. Rpt.
• Files: TRIS, TRB
• Created Date: Nov 17 1976 12:00AM