THE ACCURACY OF SMALL-AREA POPULATION FORECASTS BASED ON A SPATIAL INTERACTION LAND-USE MODELING SYSTEM

As a result of the Intermodal Surface Transportation Efficiency Act (ISTEA) and Clean Air Act legislation, more agencies are employing or will be required to employ spatial interaction land-use models to develop small-area (subcounty) population forecasts. Information on the magnitude or characteristics of the error generated from these models or in small-area forecasts in general is limited. This paper presents a case study that adds to the knowledge of error in small-area forecasts by evaluating forecasts of census tract population that are developed from a spatial interaction land-use modeling system. Methodologies that can be used to examine forecast error more comprehensively are explained.

  • Availability:
  • Corporate Authors:

    American Planning Association

    122 South Michigan Avenue, Suite 1500
    Chicago, IL  United States  60603-6107
  • Authors:
    • Tayman, J
  • Publication Date: 1996

Language

  • English

Media Info

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00716522
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Files: TRIS, ATRI
  • Created Date: Feb 25 1996 12:00AM