FORECASTING TRANSPORT DEVELOPMENT: TESTING THE UTILITY OF A SIMPLE REGRESSION APPROACH

The analysis tests the utility of a simple regression approach in "postdictively" explaining transport development in West Malaysia from 1887 to 1968. The growth of the network is modelled as a process of contagious diffusion where transport densities of adjacent cells are used as predictor variables on a lagged basis. The partial regression coefficients provide measures of network orientation over time. The results demonstrate the importance of the contagion process in transport forecasting and provide equivalent levels of explanation when compared with a model which utilizes modernization indexes as predictor weights. /Author/TRRL/

• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/issn/00494488
• Corporate Authors:

  Elsevier

  Radarweg 29
  Amsterdam,   Netherlands  1043 NX
• Authors:
  • LEINBACH, T R
• Publication Date: 1974-10

Language

• English

Media Info

• Features: Figures; References; Tables;
• Pagination: p. 243-254
• Serial:
  • Transportation (Netherlands)
  • Volume: 3
  • Issue Number: 3
  • Publisher: Martinus Nijhoff Publishers
  • ISSN: 0049-4488

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Development; Forecasting; Mathematical models; Regression analysis; Transportation
• Uncontrolled Terms: Transportation models
• Geographic Terms: Asia; Malaysia
• ITRD Terms: 8005: Asia; 132: Forecast; 8066: Malaysia; 1054: Network (traffic); 6588: Regression analysis
• Subject Areas: Operations and Traffic Management; Transportation (General); I71: Traffic Theory;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00096726
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: Transport and Road Research Laboratory (TRRL)
• Files: ITRD, TRIS
• Created Date: Oct 18 1975 12:00AM