SIXTH SYMPOSIUM ON THE FUTURE OF CONURBATION TRANSPORT II. ENERGY RESOURCES AND TRANSPORT PLANNING

Although known oil reserves are increasing as new discoveries are made, in relation to the rate of production there is a steady decrease in the security of supply for petroleum. On the best estimate of total global resources, petroleum production will reach a peak in 1985-1995, and unless the current growth in demand slackens, this will rapidly exceed supply. Since petroleum use is extremely inelastic, there will be a rapid increase in price with the consequent drain on the trade balance and problems of equitable allocation of resources. These rising prices and diminishing fuel availability will put severe constraints on vehicle ownership and use which are not at present allowed for in transportation forecasts. Current road-building schemes, often not expected to come into fruition until 1980-2000, are pernicious in that they will generate additional demand at a time when a grave fuel situation is already worsening. It is unlikely that alternative fuel sources will be developed sufficiently by this time for mass production and use. Future transport planning should aim to minimise inefficient vehicle movements and energy use, through, for example, encouragement of walking and cycling. /TRRL/

• Corporate Authors:

  Manchester University, England

  Department of Extra-Mural Studies, Holly Royal College
  Manchester M60 1QD,   England 
• Authors:
  • FOLEY, G
• Publication Date: 1972-10

Language

• English

Media Info

• Features: Figures; References;
• Pagination: p. 11-22
• Serial:
  • Publication of: Manchester University, England
  • Publisher: Manchester University, England

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Costs; Delivery service; Demand; Economic analysis; Energy; Energy conservation; Energy resources; Forecasting; Fuel consumption; Fuels; Nucleonics; Petroleum industry; Physical distribution; Planning; Transportation; Transportation modes; Transportation planning
• Geographic Terms: Asia; United Kingdom; United States
• Old TRIS Terms: Fuel sources
• ITRD Terms: 8005: Asia; 224: Cost; 284: Delivery; 285: Demand (econ); 9016: Distribution (gen); 213: Energy; 132: Forecast; 3850: Fuel; 232: Fuel consumption; 1054: Network (traffic); 6735: Nucleonics; 143: Planning; 1145: Transport mode; 8119: United Kingdom; 8122: USA
• Subject Areas: Economics; Energy; Planning and Forecasting; Research; Transportation (General); I72: Traffic and Transport Planning;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00131428
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: Transport and Road Research Laboratory (TRRL)
• Report/Paper Numbers: Conf Paper
• Files: ITRD, TRIS
• Created Date: May 14 1976 12:00AM