STATISTICAL DECISION THEORY AS A FRAMEWORK FOR SELECTING A TRANSPORTATION STUDY DESIGN

STATISTISHE DECISIETHEORIE ALS RAAM WERK VOOR DE KEUZE VAN EEN ONDERZOEKWIJZE IN DE VERVOERSPLANNING

In transportation planning uncertainty with respect to the consequences of the transportation plans is not taken into account explicitly. Furthermore any formal relation between the characteristics of the transportation study and the decisions it has to support is lacking. Statistical decision theory (sdt) is investigated because it seems capable of providing for both of these missing qualities. First the principles of sdt are explained using an example. Then an analysis of the applicability of sdt to the transportation planning context follows. It is concluded that several factors prevent a meaningful application. /TRRL/

• Corporate Authors:

  Delft University of Technology

  Stevinweg 1
  Delft,   Netherlands  2600 GA
• Authors:
  • Jansen, GRM
• Publication Date: 1973-8

Language

• Dutch

Media Info

• Features: Figures; References; Tables;
• Pagination: 44 p.

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Decision making; Forecasting; Methodology; Planning; Statistical analysis; Statistics; Theory; Transportation; Transportation planning
• ITRD Terms: 2248: Decision process; 132: Forecast; 9102: Method; 1054: Network (traffic); 143: Planning; 6555: Statistics; 9078: Theory
• Subject Areas: Administration and Management; Data and Information Technology; Operations and Traffic Management; Planning and Forecasting; Transportation (General); I71: Traffic Theory; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00095802
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: Transport and Road Research Laboratory (TRRL)
• Report/Paper Numbers: R&D Rpt.
• Files: ITRD, TRIS
• Created Date: Jul 15 1975 12:00AM