WHAT IS THE VALUE OF THE FUTURE? . TRANSPORTATION PLANNING COLLOQUIUM 1988, THE NETHERLANDS IN WHITE PAPERS. STRATEGY AND PRAGMATISM IN POLICY AND RESEARCH. THE HAGUE 24-25. 1988, VOLUME I. II, AND III

HOE ZWAAR WEEGT DE TOEKOMST?

This paper deals with the question as to what extent future plans can survive in day by day decisions. For this purpose a case study is introduced of a tramline reservation which has been abolished in favour of a private housing development. Two decision-models are considered: firstly, a utility maximization model. This model includes amongst others likely extra costs, to be spent in the future to build the tramline somewhere else; secondly, an uncertainty reduction method. It successively introduces information about elements to be included in decision-making. The example in the paper considers elements such as implementation opportunities and light-rail policies. Conclusions include the statement that future plans should be assessed for their contribution to present problems in order to avoid opportunistic decision-making. (Author/TRRL)

• Corporate Authors:

  Colloguium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk

  P.O. Box 45
  Delft,   Netherlands 
• Publication Date: 1988

Language

• Dutch

Media Info

• Pagination: p. 29-46
• Serial:
  • Publication of: Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk
  • Publisher: Colloguium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Carriers; City planning; Conferences; Decision making; Dwellings; Forecasting; Location; Mathematical models; Methodology; Planning; Public transit; Trolley cars; Urban development
• Geographic Terms: Netherlands
• ITRD Terms: 8525: Conference; 2248: Decision process; 308: Dwelling; 132: Forecast; 1124: Line (transp); 9061: Location; 6473: Mathematical model; 9102: Method; 8078: Netherlands; 143: Planning; 744: Public transport; 354: Town planning; 1284: Tram; 374: Urban development
• Subject Areas: Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Public Transportation; Society; Terminals and Facilities;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00492956
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: Institute for Road Safety Research, SWOV
• Files: ITRD, TRIS
• Created Date: May 31 1990 12:00AM