AVIATION FORECASTING METHODOLOGY. PART III - DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS. SUMMARY

The authors summarized the workshop presentations and discussions on aviation forecasting methodology. Areas covered included growth factors, forecast reliability, market maturation, forecasting air transport costs, and market research support for forecasting. They concluded that the present FAA forecast procedure appears to be generally satisfactory under the circumstances. They pointed out the need to use the forecast process to explore more thoroughly possible contingencies and alternative scenarios. They concluded that no strong need was expressed at the workshop for the development of improved forecast models. They noted that airline participation in the workshop was less than would have been desirable since so much of the raw data and analysis are generated by the airlines.

• Record URL:
  • https://onlinepubs.trb.org/Onlinepubs/trcircular/348/348-013.pdf
• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/issn/00978515
• Supplemental Notes:
  • Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
• Corporate Authors:

  Transportation Research Board

  500 Fifth Street, NW
  Washington, DC  United States  20001
• Authors:
  • Nesbit, W R
  • Taneja, N K
• Publication Date: 1989-8

Media Info

• Media Type: Digital/other
• Features: Tables;
• Pagination: p. 85-90
• Serial:
  • Transportation Research Circular
  • Issue Number: 348
  • Publisher: Transportation Research Board
  • ISSN: 0097-8515

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Aviation; Costs; Forecasting; Market research; Markets; Methodology; Reliability; Statistical trends; Urban growth; Workshops
• Subject Areas: Aviation; Finance; Highways; Planning and Forecasting;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00494557
• Record Type: Publication
• Files: TRIS, TRB
• Created Date: May 31 1990 12:00AM