PEDESTRIAN/VEHICLE CONFLICTS: AN ACCIDENT PREDICTION MODEL

Traffic conflicts have been used to define the potential for traffic accidents. However, conflicts defined by vehicle and pedestrian interactions have not produced reliable techniques to explain pedestrian/vehicle accidents. This study was conducted to determine the relationship between pedestrian/vehicle conflicts and accidents in order to develop a reliable model to predict the occurrence of pedestrian accidents. Accident group models were developed using discriminate analysis for the cities of Washington, D.C., and Seattle. Along with counting the conflicts that were used to define these accident groups, exposure measures such as pedestrian volume, vehicle volume, number of lanes, and type of traffic control aided in the explanation of pedestrian accident variance. Further research was recommended to investigate refined variable definitions along with the use of a larger accident data base.

• Record URL:
  http://onlinepubs.trb.org/Onlinepubs/trr/1989/1210/1210-001.pdf
• Record URL:
  https://scholar.google.com/scholar_lookup?title=PEDESTRIAN%2FVEHICLE+CONFLICTS%3A+AN+ACCIDENT+PREDICTION+MODEL&author=S.+Davis&author=H.+Robertson&author=L.+King&publication_year=1989
• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/isbn/0309048060
• Supplemental Notes:
  • This paper appears in Transportation Research Record No. 1210, Safety Issues: Pedestrians, Law Enforcement, Seat Belts, Elderly Drivers, and Economics. Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved
• Corporate Authors:

  Transportation Research Board

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  Washington, DC  United States  20001
• Authors:
  • Davis, Scott E
  • Robertson, H Douglas
  • King, L Ellis
• Publication Date: 1989

Media Info

• Features: Figures; References; Tables;
• Pagination: p. 1-11
• Monograph Title: SAFETY ISSUES: PEDESTRIANS, LAW ENFORCEMENT, SEAT BELTS, ELDERLY DRIVERS, AND ECONOMICS
• Serial:
  • Transportation Research Record
  • Issue Number: 1210
  • Publisher: Transportation Research Board
  • ISSN: 0361-1981

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Crash exposure; Discriminant analysis; Forecasting; Future; Mathematical models; Pedestrian vehicle crashes; Pedestrian vehicle interface; Recommendations; Research; Traffic conflicts
• Uncontrolled Terms: Future research
• Geographic Terms: Seattle (Washington); Washington (District of Columbia)
• Old TRIS Terms: Discriminate analysis
• Subject Areas: Highways; Research; Safety and Human Factors; I81: Accident Statistics;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00491230
• Record Type: Publication
• ISBN: 0-309-04806-0
• Files: TRIS, TRB, ATRI
• Created Date: Feb 28 1990 12:00AM