PASSENGERS' CHOICE OF AIRPORT: AN APPLICATION OF THE MULTINOMIAL LOGIT MODEL

The authors sought to establish that airports do not have "catchment areas" as such and that air travelers make choices among available airports when they elect to travel. A model that describes this choice mechanism will permit airport systems to be planned on a more reliable basis. This work develops a model for passengers in central England based on data collected in 1975 and 1978 by the Civil Aviation Authority. The model chosen was one of discrete behavioral choice; the particular form that was successfully calibrated was the multinomial logit model. For business and inclusive tour travel, the most important variables of choice were access time to the airport and frequency to the chosen destination. For domestic and leisure trips there were three factors: air fare, access time, and frequency of available flights, in that order of importance. The calibrated model showed high agreement between observed and predicted market shares. The model was also found to be transferable to data from a separate survey of air travel from the London area. The model is expected to be of use to airport authorities and airlines in planning and determining business strategy in the increasingly competitive deregulated environment of air transport.

• Record URL:
  • http://onlinepubs.trb.org/Onlinepubs/trr/1987/1147/1147-001.pdf
• Record URL:
  • https://scholar.google.com/scholar_lookup?title=PASSENGERS%27+CHOICE+OF+AIRPORT%3A+AN+APPLICATION+OF+THE+MULTINOMIAL+LOGIT+MODEL&author=N.+Ashford&author=M.+Benchemam&publication_year=1988
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• Supplemental Notes:
  • Publication of this paper sponsored by Committee on Aviation Economics and Forecasting. Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved
• Authors:
  • Ashford, Norman
  • Benchemam, Messaoud
• Conference:
  • 67th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board
  • Location: Washington District of Columbia, United States
  • Date: 1988-1-11 to 1988-1-14
• Publication Date: 1988

Media Info

• Media Type: Print
• Features: References; Tables;
• Pagination: pp 1-5
• Monograph Title: Air transportation issues
• Serial:
  • Transportation Research Record
  • Issue Number: 1147
  • Publisher: Transportation Research Board
  • ISSN: 0361-1981

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Air transportation; Aircraft operations; Airport access; Airports; Choice models; Logits; Multinomial logits; Planning
• Uncontrolled Terms: Flight frequency
• Old TRIS Terms: Air fare
• Subject Areas: Aviation; Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Terminals and Facilities;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00476123
• Record Type: Publication
• ISBN: 030904653X
• Files: TRIS, TRB
• Created Date: Sep 30 1988 12:00AM