SUCCESSIVE FAILURES - A PROBABILISTIC APPROACH. PROCEEDINGS OF THE ELEVENTH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON SOIL MECHANICS AND FOUNDATION ENGINEERING, SAN FRANCISCO, 12-16 AUGUST 1985

The occurrence of successive failures within earth masses has often been observed and it is an important geotechnical problem. Within a conventional deterministic framework, loss of support appears to be the only important element in this problem. Within a probabilistic framework, other key aspects are identified. These relate to the uncertainty and variability in material parameters and to interactions within the region of interest. A model is presented in this paper with special reference to slips which may occur in natural or man-made slopes. Estimation of the statistical parameters of safety margins associated with any two slip surfaces is followed by the derivation of the coefficient of correlation between these two stochastic parameters. The joint probability of failure can then be calculated in order to arrive at the probability that one slide will be followed by another. For the covering abstract of the conference see IRRD 287689. (Author/TRRL)

• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/isbn/9061915643
• Corporate Authors:

  AA Balkema

  P.O. Box 1675
  Rotterdam,   Netherlands  BR-3000
• Authors:
  • CHOWDHURY, R N
• Publication Date: 1985

Media Info

• Features: Figures; References; Tables;
• Pagination: p. 819-824
• Serial:
  • Publication of: Balkema (AA)
  • Publisher: AA Balkema

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Conferences; Estimating; Failure; Geotechnical engineering; Mathematical models; Probability; Safety; Slip surfaces; Slope stability; Statistical analysis; Stochastic processes
• Uncontrolled Terms: Probabilistic analysis
• Subject Areas: Data and Information Technology; Geotechnology; Highways; Safety and Human Factors;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00466298
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: Transport Research Laboratory
• ISBN: 90 6191 564 3
• Files: ITRD, TRIS
• Created Date: Mar 31 1988 12:00AM