REVIEW OF AVIATION FORECASTS AND FORECASTING METHODOLOGY

This paper documents a briefing to a special committee appointed by the Secretary of Transportation to study the organizational structure and management approach employed by the Federal Aviation Administration in carrying out its missions. The paper covers the uses of aviation forecasts, the methodologies used in developing forecasts, and a comparison of past forecasts with actual resulting aviation activity. Past uses of aviation forecasts are numerous; however, it is shown that some major policy studies in the past have not incorporated forecasts of aviation activity as part of the analytical process used in reaching recommendations. The methodology used to develop forecasts varies widely, depending on a number of factors.

• Corporate Authors:

  Peat, Marwick, Mitchell and Company

  1990 K Street, NW
  Washington, DC  United States  20006

  Department of Transportation

  Assistant Secretary for Policy and International Affairs, 1200 New Jersey Avenue, SE
  Washington, DC  United States  20590
• Authors:
  • Haney, D C
• Publication Date: 1975-5

Media Info

• Pagination: 61 p.

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Air; Air traffic; Air traffic control; Civil aircraft; Forecasting; General aviation aircraft; Intermodal terminals; Mathematical models; Planning; Transportation
• Old TRIS Terms: Terminal facilities; Transportation models and systems
• Subject Areas: Planning and Forecasting; Transportation (General);

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00091551
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: Transportation Systems Center
• Contract Numbers: DOT-OS-40176
• Files: NTIS, TSR, USDOT
• Created Date: Aug 13 1975 12:00AM