PLAYING THE ODDS IN ROCK MECHANICS
Rock engineering involves uncertainties which are large and difficult to quantify. The traditional approach to these uncertainties has been conservatism, and has been satisfactory to the extent that failure rates are reasonably small. Yet, a price is paid for conservatism, and that price is not always small. Today, reliability of such methods, usually under the name "probabilistic design", is controversial. However, if the jingoism of both sides in this controversy is stripped away, it appears that new insights about uncertainty in rock engineering are emerging. For the covering abstract of the symposium see TRIS 452576. (Author/TRRL)
-
Supplemental Notes:
- Proceedings of the 23rd Symposium on Rock Mechanics, Issues in Rock Mechanics, University of California, Berkeley, California, August 25-27, 1982.
-
Corporate Authors:
American Institute of Mining, Mettalurgy & Petroleum Engineers
345 East 47th Street
New York, NY United States 10017 -
Authors:
- Baecher, G B
- Conference:
- Publication Date: 1982
Media Info
- Features: Figures; References;
- Pagination: p. 67-85
Subject/Index Terms
- TRT Terms: Conferences; Costs; Design; Evaluation and assessment; Failure; Hazards; Information management; Information, data, and knowledge; Mathematical analysis; Methodology; Probability; Risk assessment; Rock mechanics; Statistical dispersion; Tunnels; Uncertainty
- Old TRIS Terms: Probabilistic factors
- ITRD Terms: 6471: Analysis (math); 8525: Conference; 224: Cost; 9011: Design (overall design); 6512: Dispersion (stat); 9020: Evaluation (assessment); 8555: Information documentation; 9102: Method; 6534: Probability; 9150: Risk; 5757: Rock mechanics; 3374: Tunnel
- Subject Areas: Bridges and other structures; Data and Information Technology; Design; Finance; Geotechnology; Highways; Safety and Human Factors;
Filing Info
- Accession Number: 00452579
- Record Type: Publication
- Source Agency: Transport Research Laboratory
- Files: ITRD, TRIS
- Created Date: Jul 31 1986 12:00AM