LAG REGRESSION MODELS OF THE SPATIAL SPREAD OF HIGHWAY IMPROVEMENTS

This study is an attempt to describe and analyze, using simple methods of linear regression, the dynamic process whereby the highway network of a region has been transformed from a predominantly gravel and earth road system to an extensive network of hard surfaced roads. The highway data are derived from Ontario Department of Highways road maps from 1925 to 1971. Observation of the set of maps shows a striking pattern in the growth of the improved highway network. From these analyses a lag regression model of changing spatial structure has been formulated and estimated. Much more experience at this type of dynamic empirical modeling needs to be acquired, hopefully enriched by new theoretical developments.

• Corporate Authors:

  Clark University

  Worchester, MA  United States  01610
• Authors:
  • Mackinnon, R D
• Publication Date: 1974-10

Media Info

• Pagination: p. 368-374
• Serial:
  • ECONOMIC GEOGRAPHY
  • Volume: 50
  • Issue Number: 4

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Dynamic programming; Earth roads; Gravel roads; Highway planning; Linear regression analysis; Maps; Networks; Paving; Roads
• Uncontrolled Terms: Road networks
• Old TRIS Terms: Hard surfacing; Spacial structure
• Subject Areas: Design; Highways;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00080798
• Record Type: Publication
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Mar 26 1975 12:00AM