EMISSIONS FORECASTING METHODOLOGIES

A methodology for forecasting emissions for any future year is described. Techniques and specific emission factors for 1975, 1985, and 1995 are given for both mobile and stationary sources. Motor vehicle emissions are based on the CVS-2 test cycle and a data base specific for California. A discussion of current and developing approaches and driving cycles used to quantify motor vehicle emissions is presented including a discussion of speed adjustment factors. Stationary sources are divided into power plants and other stationary sources; power plant emissions are based on projections of electrical energy generation and other stationary source emissions are based on normalized projections of total earnings by source category (e.g. petroleum refining, mineral extraction). The base year for stationary source emissions is 1972.

• Corporate Authors:

  California State Air Resources Board

  Evaluation and Planning
  Sacramento, CA  United States 

  Department of Housing and Urban Development

  451 7th Street, SW
  Washington, DC  United States  20410

  California State Office of Planning and Research

  Sacramento, CA  United States 
• Publication Date: 1974-7

Media Info

• Pagination: 91 p.

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Classification; Combustion; Electric power plants; Exhaust gases; Forecasting; Guidelines; Highway transportation; Industrial wastes; Land use; Management; Mathematical prediction; Methodology; Motor vehicles; Pollutants; Programming (Planning); Statistical analysis
• Uncontrolled Terms: Sources
• Geographic Terms: California
• Old TRIS Terms: Air pollution forecasts; Combustion products; Emission rates
• Subject Areas: Administration and Management; Data and Information Technology; Design; Economics; Highways; Safety and Human Factors; Society;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00091225
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: National Technical Information Service
• Contract Numbers: HUD-CPA-CA-1032
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Jun 26 1975 12:00AM