Incorporating Climate Change into Aviation Forecasts

Airports rely on aviation activity forecasts for many reasons, including long-range planning and financing. Aviation forecasting is generally based on various assumptions about socioeconomic trends, but it is becoming increasingly clear that climate change may affect air traffic activity, either directly (e.g., higher temperatures affecting aircraft performance) or indirectly (e.g., through policy). Airports need to ensure their forecasts consider climate change, but there is limited understanding of its possible impacts and how to incorporate climate change into long-range forecasting. Research is needed to provide airports with information and methods to evaluate the potential impact of climate change and climate change policy on future aviation activity and incorporate the effects into their aviation demand forecasts. The objective of this research is to develop a primer and guide to help airport industry practitioners incorporate climate change effects (i.e., impacts and mitigation) into aviation forecasts.


  • English


  • Status: Proposed
  • Funding: $450000
  • Contract Numbers:

    Project 03-77

  • Sponsor Organizations:

    Airport Cooperative Research Program

    Transportation Research Board
    500 Fifth Street, NW
    Washington, DC    20001

    Federal Aviation Administration

    800 Independence Avenue, SW
    Washington, DC  United States  20591
  • Project Managers:

    Navarrete, Joseph

  • Start Date: 20240131
  • Expected Completion Date: 0
  • Actual Completion Date: 0

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 01889825
  • Record Type: Research project
  • Source Agency: Transportation Research Board
  • Contract Numbers: Project 03-77
  • Files: TRB, RIP
  • Created Date: Aug 10 2023 10:17AM