DISAGGREGATE MODELS OF MODE CHOICES: AN ASSESSMENT OF PERFORMANCE AND SUGGESTIONS FOR IMPROVEMENT
This paper investigates reasons for unsatisfactory performance of disaggregate models of mode choice in terms of their transferability, forecasting ability and policy relevance. It focuses primarily on the problem of non-choosers in mnl models of mode choice and proposes some improvements in model specification. Similarity of modal choices of homogeneous categories of persons in Baltimore, Berlin and Hamburg, confirms the importance of a proper market segmentation built around such variables as auto availability, employment and age. Geographic differences/temporal changes in population structure due to these variables are found to be directly related to the often postulated necessity of updating alternative specific constants in mnl models of modal choice. (Author/TRRL)
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Availability:
- Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/isbn/9067640085
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Supplemental Notes:
- Papers presented during the Ninth International Symposium on Transportation and Traffic Theory held in Delft the Netherlands, 11-13 July 1984.
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Corporate Authors:
VNU Science Pres BV
P.O. Box 2073
Utrecht, Netherlands -
Authors:
- Supernak, J
- Conference:
- Publication Date: 1984
Media Info
- Features: References; Tables;
- Pagination: p. 533-559
Subject/Index Terms
- TRT Terms: Age; Automobile ownership; Conferences; Demographics; Disaggregate analysis; Employment; Errors; Forecasting; Geography; Jobs; Mathematical models; Mode choice; Motor vehicles; Ownership; Population; Transportation modes
- Uncontrolled Terms: Modifications; Selection
- Geographic Terms: Baltimore (Maryland); Germany
- Old TRIS Terms: Disaggregate models; Modal selection
- ITRD Terms: 1757: Age; 8525: Conference; 6440: Error; 132: Forecast; 6473: Mathematical model; 9048: Modification; 2271: Occupation; 335: Population; 9072: Selection; 1145: Transport mode; 315: Vehicle ownership
- Subject Areas: Geotechnology; Highways; Operations and Traffic Management; Planning and Forecasting; Public Transportation; Society; I71: Traffic Theory;
Filing Info
- Accession Number: 00392100
- Record Type: Publication
- Source Agency: Institute for Road Safety Research, SWOV
- ISBN: 90-6764-008-5
- Files: ITRD, TRIS
- Created Date: Apr 29 1985 12:00AM