PROJECTION OF TYPICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF AUTOMOBILES AND TRANSIT VEHICLES FOR POLICY ANALYSIS

In this paper the characteristics of three future automotive technology sets are described, starting from historical data and projected forward in time along paths suggested by given alternate future socioeconomic environments. The characterizations include quantified projections of automobile and transit vehicle weight, performance, fuel economy, consumer price, operating cost, materials of construction, fuels and environmental residuals associated with their manufacture, operating pollutants, and infrastructure-related energy expenditures, emission, and cost. Brief descriptions of rationale and calculational procedures are also given, and selected results are presented. The breadth of the vehicle characterizations permits the effects of policy options on most facets of the urban transportation section to be examined. The methodologies developed in this work are generalized, and hence can be used with alternate assumptions in a variety of investigations. For purposes of the Technology Assessment of Productive Conservation in Urban Transportation (TAPCUT) policy analysis, each technology set consisted of six sizes of personal automobiles, each propelled by conventional otto, stratified-charge otto, turbocharged otto, diesel, Brayton, or Stirling heat engines; and lead-acid, nickel-zinc, or lithium-sulfide battery-electric systems. The characteristics of 13 types of urban transit vehicles and systems were also projected for each technology set. Thirty-one current and potential materials of vehicular construction were identified. From the bills of materials developed for each vehicle, the amounts of 6 types of fuels used and 31 kinds of residuals produced in their production were also projected for each set, and then disaggregated into extraction, manufacturing, and recycling-production phases.

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  • http://onlinepubs.trb.org/Onlinepubs/trr/1984/952/952-002.pdf
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• Supplemental Notes:
  • Publication of this paper sponsored by Committee on Energy Conservation and Transportation Demand. Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
• Authors:
  • Hudson, Charles L
  • Putnam, Evelyn S
• Publication Date: 1984

Media Info

• Media Type: Print
• Features: Figures; References; Tables;
• Pagination: pp 11-22
• Monograph Title: Technology assessment of productive conservation in urban transportation
• Serial:
  • Transportation Research Record
  • Issue Number: 952
  • Publisher: Transportation Research Board
  • ISSN: 0361-1981

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Analysis; Automobiles; Buses; Costs; Energy consumption; Exhaust gases; Light rail vehicles; Policy making; Rapid transit cars; Transportation planning; Urban transportation; Vehicle design
• Uncontrolled Terms: Cost analysis
• Subject Areas: Administration and Management; Design; Energy; Finance; Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Policy; Public Transportation; Vehicles and Equipment; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00390644
• Record Type: Publication
• ISBN: 309036720
• Files: TRIS, TRB
• Created Date: Dec 30 1984 12:00AM