QUICK-RESPONSE PROCEDURES TO FORECAST RURAL TRAFFIC

The development of a quick-response method to forecast traffic volumes at project sites located on the rural highway network is discussed. By using travel data from New York State's continuous count stations in rural locations and various state-, county-, and town-level demographic data, a set of elasticity-based models is derived. These models can forecast future year annual average daily traffic (AADT) as a function of base year AADT modified by various demographic factors. These models are estimated based on the type of service the roadway carries: interurban, urban to rural, and rural to rural. Nomographs and a user's manual that describes a simple seven-step process to use the model were developed and distributed to regional offices throughout New York State. (Author)

• Record URL:
  • http://onlinepubs.trb.org/Onlinepubs/trr/1983/944/944-006.pdf
• Record URL:
  • https://scholar.google.com/scholar_lookup?title=QUICK-RESPONSE+PROCEDURES+TO+FORECAST+RURAL+TRAFFIC&author=A.+Neveu&publication_year=1983
• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/isbn/0309036658
• Supplemental Notes:
  • Publication of this paper sponsored by Committee on Passenger Travel Demand Forecasting. Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved
• Corporate Authors:

  Transportation Research Board

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  Washington, DC  United States  20001
• Authors:
  • Neveu, Alfred J
• Publication Date: 1983

Media Info

• Media Type: Print
• Features: Figures; Maps; References;
• Pagination: pp 47-53
• Monograph Title: TRANSPORTATION FORECASTING: ANALYSIS AND QUANTITATIVE METHODS
• Serial:
  • Transportation Research Record
  • Issue Number: 944
  • Publisher: Transportation Research Board
  • ISSN: 0361-1981

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Average daily traffic; Forecasting; Intercity transportation; Networks; Nomographs; Roads; Rural highways; Traffic volume
• Uncontrolled Terms: Road networks
• Subject Areas: Highways; Planning and Forecasting; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00389950
• Record Type: Publication
• ISBN: 0309036658
• Files: TRIS, TRB
• Created Date: Nov 30 1984 12:00AM