TRANSIT RIDERSHIP FORECASTING - A MICROCOMPUTER APPLICATION
This article describes the advantages and disadvantages of implementing transit ridership forecasting techniques on microcomputers, taking into account necessary and desirable simplifications and modifications. One model, which has been successfully implemented on a microcomputer, will be presented as an indication of the considerations involved. Forecasting transit ridership can be accomplished by a variety of methods of varying degrees of sophistication. For example, elasticities have been estimated between ridership and a large number of travel factors including fare and headway. With these elasticities, the effects of fare and headway changes on an existing route can be quickly and roughly estimated. Other techniques, which assume ridership is proportional to the number of dwelling units in the service area, enable calculation of impacts of route extensions.
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Availability:
- Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/oclc/7938948
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Corporate Authors:
Eno Transportation Foundation
1250 I Street, NW, Suite 750
Washington, DC United States 20005 -
Authors:
- Horowitz, A J
- Publication Date: 1984-4
Media Info
- Features: References;
- Pagination: p. 297-310
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Serial:
- Transportation Quarterly
- Volume: 38
- Issue Number: 2
- Publisher: Eno Transportation Foundation
- ISSN: 0278-9434
Subject/Index Terms
- TRT Terms: Elasticity (Economics); Fares; Forecasting; Information processing; Line extensions (Rail transit); Planning; Public transit; Rapid transit; Residential areas; Ridership; Routes; Scheduling; Technological forecasting; Transportation
- Old TRIS Terms: Route analysis; Route extensions
- Subject Areas: Planning and Forecasting; Transportation (General); I72: Traffic and Transport Planning;
Filing Info
- Accession Number: 00389788
- Record Type: Publication
- Files: TRIS
- Created Date: Oct 30 1984 12:00AM